Junta No. 2’s Visit to Recaptured Nawnghkio Signals N. Shan’s Strategic Importance

缅媒：缅甸军政府二号视察收复的瑙丘镇，标志着北掸邦的战略重要性

作者：Maung Kavi         来源：伊洛瓦底江

Deputy junta chief Soe Win during his visit to Nawnghkio on July 21, 2025 / CINCDS

2025年7月21日，缅甸军政府副主席梭温访问瑙丘

Deputy Myanmar junta chief Soe Win visited Nawnghkio town on Monday, one week after the regime recaptured the town from the ethnic Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA).

缅甸军政府副主席梭温周一访问了瑙丘镇，一个星期前，缅甸政府从塔德昂民族解放军（TNLA）手中夺回了该镇。

His trip marked the first visit to northern Shan State by a top military commander since the launch of anti-regime Operation 1027 in 2023, which dealt a serious blow to the military regime.

这是自2023年发动打击缅甸军政府的1027行动以来，缅甸最高军事指挥官首次访问掸邦北部。

The TNLA and its allies captured Nawnghkio, around one hour’s drive from Pyin Oo Lwin—which is home to the Myanmar military’s elite academies—as part of Operation 1027 in July last year. It took around one year for the regime to retake the town.

作为去年7月1027行动的一部分，TNLA及其盟友占领了瑙丘镇，这里距离缅甸军方精英学院所在地彬乌伦（Pyin Oo lwin）大约一个小时的车程。该政权花了大约一年的时间才重新夺回该镇。

Nawnghkio is strategically located at the junction of northern and southern Shan, on the border with Mandalay Region. It sits along a key trade route with China that links Mandalay to Muse on the border and serves as a logistics lifeline for the junta.

瑙丘位于掸邦北部和南部交界处的战略位置，与曼德勒地区接壤。它坐落在一条与中国的关键贸易路线上，这条贸易路线将曼德勒与边境上的木姐连接起来，是军政府的后勤生命线。

During his visit, Soe Win lavished praise on regime troops, commending their achievements in combat. However, analysts point out that the regime owes its regained foothold in northern Shan less to battlefield success than to Chinese intervention.

在访问期间，梭温对政府军大加赞扬，赞扬了他们在战斗中的成就。然而，分析人士指出，缅甸政权在掸邦北部重新站稳脚跟的原因与其说是战场上的成功，不如说是中国的干预。

China’s push to reopen the China-Myanmar border trade route—and to see its envisioned China-Myanmar Economic Corridor become a reality—played a decisive role, they said.

他们说，中国推动重新开放中缅边境贸易路线，并使其设想的中缅经济走廊成为现实，其中发挥了决定性作用。

At one point last year, an ally of the TNLA, the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), threatened the junta’s control as far south as Pyin Oo Lwin and Mandalay city after capturing the northern Shan State capital Lashio in August. However, following Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi’s visit to Naypyitaw shortly after, the MNDAA reversed course and halted its offensive. It handed Lashio back to the regime in April this year.

去年8月，TNLA的盟友缅甸民族民主同盟军（MNDAA）夺取掸邦北部首府腊戍后，一度威胁到军政府对南部彬乌伦和曼德勒市的控制。然而，在中国外交部长王毅访问内比都后不久，同盟军改变了路线，停止了进攻。今年4月，将腊戍交还给了政府。

Notably, towns under the MNDAA’s control—including Hseni, Kunlong and Chinshwehaw—have been spared regime airstrikes. In stark contrast, TNLA-held towns like Nawnghkio, Kyaukme, Hsipaw and Mogoke have been subjected to near-daily indiscriminate aerial bombing, as the TNLA has refused to halt its offensive operations.

值得注意的是，在MNDAA控制下的城镇——包括登尼， 滚弄和清水河——都没有受到政府军的空袭。与之形成鲜明对比的是，TNLA控制的城镇，如瑙丘、皎梅、昔卜和抹谷，几乎每天都受到空中轰炸，因为TNLA拒绝停止进攻行动。

Having reclaimed Nawnghkio, the regime is pressing toward Kyaukme, another TNLA-controlled town on the China-Myanmar trade route.

在收复了瑙丘之后，缅甸政权正在向皎梅（Kyaukme）推进，皎梅是中缅贸易路线上另一个由德昂控制的城镇。

On Monday, Soe Win personally awarded battlefield promotions to troops who took part in the Nawnghkio offensive.

星期一，梭温亲自向参加瑙丘攻势的士兵授予战场晋升。

The regime now has its sights set on Kyaukme and Hsipaw as it seeks to reopen the border trade routes with China through Muse and Chinshwehaw. The latter is controlled by the MNDAA, while Muse is jointly controlled by the Brotherhood Alliance of ethnic armies comprising the MNDAA, TNLA and Arakan Army. China is expected to continue to apply pressure on the TNLA to cede the two towns.

现在，缅甸政府将目光投向皎梅和昔卜，试图通过木姐和清水河重新开放与中国的边境贸易路线。后者由MNDAA控制，而木姐由MNDAA， TNLA和阿拉干军组成的民族军队三兄弟联盟共同控制。预计中国将继续向TNLA施压，要求其割让这两个城镇。

There have been reports that the MNDAA would soon hand over Hseni to the regime. Hseni lies close to Lashio.

有报道称MNDAA将很快将登尼移交给军政府。登尼靠近腊戍。

Before Nawnghkio, the regime retook towns such as Moebye and Pekon in southern Shan State on the border with Karenni State. Yet Soe Win has not visited them or handed out any awards to troops there—highlighting the junta’s strategic focus on border trade hubs in northern Shan.

在瑙丘之前，军政权重新夺回了掸邦南部与克伦尼邦接壤的Moebye和Pekon等城镇。然而，梭温并没有访问过他们，也没有给那里的军队颁发任何奖项——这凸显了军政府对掸邦北部边境贸易中心的战略关注。

During his November visit to China, junta chief Min Aung Hlaing promised to begin construction of the planned Muse-Mandalay-Kyaukphyu railway project where possible.

在去年11月访问中国期间，缅甸军政府领导人敏昂莱（Min Aung Hlaing）承诺，将在可能的情况下开始建设计划中的木姐-曼德勒-皎漂铁路项目。

The regime recently began training officials in northern Shan to use electronic voting machines, prompting speculation that it may try to expand its territorial control in Shan State in the next few months ahead of its planned December election.

该政权最近开始训练掸邦北部的官员使用电子投票机，这引发了人们的猜测，即在计划于12月举行的选举之前，它可能会在未来几个月试图扩大其在掸邦的领土控制。

While in Nawnghkio, Soe Win twice publicly declared that the regime intends to hold elections in December, and told junta employees to issue national IDs and household registration documents to ensure eligible voters can cast ballots.

在瑙丘期间，梭温两次公开宣布军政府打算在12月举行选举，并要求军政府雇员发放国民身份证和户籍登记文件，以确保合格选民能够投票。

If the regime successfully conducts elections and installs a military-aligned government, Beijing appears poised to continue its partnership with the new administration.

如果缅甸政权成功举行选举并扶植一个与军方结盟的政府，北京方面似乎准备继续与新政府保持伙伴关系。

Despite having retaken strategic towns like Lashio and Nawnghkio, junta boss Min Aung Hlaing has yet to visit either location personally.

尽管重新夺回了战略重镇腊戍和瑙丘，军政府领导人敏昂莱还没有亲自访问这两个地方。

作者：Maung Kavi         来源：伊洛瓦底江